NFL win probability

Where each number comes from: power ratings in points, the injury adjustment, the quarterback matchup, the betting line, Kalshi's price, and the players behind the injury figure.

Roster news

Bets where the ground moved: a starting QB benched, a key player out, or the model / Kalshi price swinging away from where a bet opened. Exit flags a game you had value on that has turned against you — the market usually reprices on injury news before the model does. Tell the app what you're actually on by editing data/state/positions.json.